Strategy under uncertainty

Turning uncertainty threats into opportunities

Brett Hamilton

By Brett Hamilton

Researcher, Strategy

Carine Peeters

By Carine Peeters

Professor of Strategy

Martin Weiss

By Martin Weiss

Professor of Strategy

01 May 2024
insights-strategy-under-uncertainty

In a rapidly changing and increasingly complex world, organisations face significant uncertainty when analysing markets, selecting strategies, and developing an enduring competitive advantage. In fact, while 73% of CEOs in a global survey identified macro uncertainty as a major challenge, only 12% reported having the necessary capabilities to respond effectively.

This means that uncertainty is often regarded only as a threat. However, our research and work within the Vlerick Strategy in Action Platform (SIAP) show that  uncertainty also brings new opportunities to those willing and able to shape and seize them.

The question for leaders is: How can we make our organisation win today while also being prepared for an uncertain future? To answer this question, organisations must understand uncertainty by identifying its sources and impact on the organisation. They should develop insights to inform strategic decision-making and use these to devise no-regret moves to be proactive to seize new opportunities without taking undue risks. And finally recognise that addressing uncertainty is not a one-time undertaking but it requires a continuous cycle of monitoring, learning, and adjustment.”

Read our white paper ‘Strategy under uncertainty’ and learn more about how to turn uncertainty threats into opportunities.

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Annelies Claeys

Annelies Claeys

Project Manager New Business